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OF Morning Newsletter

10/08/2021
Categories: General Information

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European equity markets are expected to change little when they open up. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,177,15 points with an increase of 0.06%, the CAC 40 at 6,813.18 points (-0.06%), the DAX 30 at 15,745.41 points (-0.10%), the FTSE 100 at 7,132.30 points (+0.13%), the SMI at 12,310.75 points (+1.10%), the AEX at 771.80 points (+0.52%), the BEL 20 at 4,316.41 points (+0.32%), the IBEX 35 at 8,865.90 points (-0.15%), the DJIA at 35,101.85 points (-0.30%), the Nasdaq at 14,860.18 points (+0.16%), the S&P 500 at 4,432.35 points (-0.09%) and the Nikkei 225 to 27,862.80 points, up 0.15%

.

With regard to the exchange rate, the change compared to the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD opened at 1.1738 up 0.02%, EUR/JPY at 129.48 (+0.01%), USD/JPY at 110.34 with an increase of 0.01%.

No macroeconomic indicators are to be published on Tuesday in France.

European equity markets are expected to see another sluggish session on Tuesday, but the easing of turmoil in the metals and oil markets and the slight rise in some Asian indices could limit the declines. At 7:40am, the CAC 40 futures contract fell 2.8 points, or 0.04%, according to data from the broker IG Markets. The DAX 30 contract fell by 8.5 points, or 0.1%, and the FTSE 100 contract lost 7.8 points, or 0.1% as well. The New York Stock Exchange closed in a contrasting manner on Monday, after the new records reached at the close on Friday. The spread of the coronavirus Delta variant, profit-taking, and Goldman Sachs' downward revision of its growth forecasts in China have shaken investor confidence on Wall Street. However, all three major indexes remain close to their all-time highs. In Asia, stock markets presented a mixed picture on Tuesday. At the end of the session, the Nikkei Index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange gained 0.2% and the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.3% in Hong Kong, while

the Shanghai Composite lost 0.1%.

U.S. Treasury bond yields fell slightly on Tuesday morning, after rising Monday following the release of a record number of U.S. vacancies in June, reflecting the strength of the labor market despite continuing concerns about the spread of the Delta variant. At 7:20 a.m., the yield on the ten-year U.S. Treasury benchmark fell to 1.315%, after closing at 1.323% on Monday

.

The euro was stable on Tuesday morning against the dollar and the yen. The greenback is also unchanged against the Japanese currency. After the better-than-expected employment figures and the good ISM indices published in the United States last week, September “could be a turning point for the dollar and the foreign exchange markets,” JPMorgan said. Restrictive comments by two Federal Reserve (Fed) governors called into question the idea that an essentially accommodative monetary policy committee (FOMC) will keep the restrictive minority at the side, the bank adds. According to ING, the dollar is expected to rise only moderately in the short term, even if the Fed gives a restrictive speech during the central bankers meeting in Jackson Hole, scheduled for August 26 to 28. The Fed will likely discuss reducing its bond purchases in Jackson Hole, which should support forecasts that it will start tightening monetary policy in early 2023 or even at the end of 2022, indicate ING analysts. “We prefer the scenario of a strong recovery in the dollar six months before the first tightening, in the second quarter

of 2022.”

Oil prices are trying to recover on Tuesday morning, after ending Monday's session down more than 2% as China took additional measures to limit the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus, fueling concerns about the level of global crude demand. According to Oanda, as stocks remain tight, further pressure on oil prices may be limited. The WTI price has a strong support at 65 dollars per barrel, but if this level is crossed, a downward spiral could start in the absence of new support before 60 dollars. At 7:15 a.m., the October North Sea Brent contract earned 36 cents, at $69.40 per barrel. The September contract for sweet light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex took 53 cents, at $67.01

per barrel.
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