NewsController :: show
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| news | App\Entity\News {#572 -id: 380 -type: Doctrine\ORM\PersistentCollection {#583 …} -user: Proxies\__CG__\App\Entity\User {#679 …} -titre: "Tensions de trésorerie, hausse des prix : le FMI ajuste le Sénégal" -description: """ <p><span class="fontstyle0">Après avoir retoqué les prévisions de croissance du Sénégal de 0,6 %, le Fmi a bloqué le déficit du pays,<br />\r\n l’obligeant à limiter les projections budgétaires. Pis, il lui demande une deuxième Loi de finances rectificative<br />\r\n (Lfr), qui est en cour de rédaction, des économies de 250 milliards et une vérité des prix avant tout nouveau<br />\r\n programme avec le pays. Des exigences qui n’augurent rien de bon pour les populations et qui fleurent bon<br />\r\n un ajustement structurel, en mode fast-tract.<br />\r\n L’Etat a vraiment chaud aux caisses. Au mois de juin dernier, les députés avaient adopté une première Loi de<br />\r\n finances rectificative 2019. Une Lfr qui consacrait une baisse considérable des ressources qui sont passées<br />\r\n de 4 071,77 milliards de francs Cfa à 3 988,63 milliards, soit une baisse de 83,14 milliards en valeur absolue<br />\r\n et 2 % en valeur relative. Trois mois plus tard, l’Etat va devoir encore serrer la ceinture et faire des<br />\r\n restrictions comme sur la facture téléphonique, l’eau et l’électricité des administrations. En effet, de sources<br />\r\n sûres chez les bailleurs de fonds, le Fonds monétaire international (Fmi), contacté officiellement qui a promis<br />\r\n de nous revenir, et dont les équipes sont en discussions ave les techniciens des Finances, exige avant tout<br />\r\n nouveau programme avec le pays une deuxième Loi de finances rectificative (Lfr). Cela, pour encore revoir à<br />\r\n la baisse les ressources attendues, faire des économies budgétaires d’au moins 250 milliards de francs Cfa<br />\r\n et procéder à la hausse des prix de certains produits de base. Ce qui est, selon certains hauts fonctionnaires<br />\r\n internationaux de cette institution de Bretton Woods, une «humiliation». Ce, même s’il a connu une Lfr 2 en<br />\r\n 2014, mais c’était pour valider la hausse des ressources avec le Plan Sénégal émergent 1 (Pse) qui venait<br />\r\n d’être plébiscité par la communauté des bailleurs.<br />\r\n Selon certains partenaires techniques et financiers, le gouvernement sénégalais a beau revoir à la hausse<br />\r\n les prix des carburants qui en ont entraîné d’autres, le Fmi trouve cela insuffisant. Et de sources sûres à la<br />\r\n Rue René Ndiaye x Avenue Carde, les techniciens du ministère des Finances sont en train de travailler sur<br />\r\n cette deuxième Loi de finances rectificative. «C’est en cours de rédaction. Et cette Lfr 2 va avoir des<br />\r\n conséquences dramatiques sur les prix de certains produits de consommation qui vont exploser et créer<br />\r\n beaucoup de déséquilibres», explique un haut fonctionnaire. Qui rappelle que le contrecoup de cette grande<br />\r\n période de consommation qu’est la Tabaski sera très compliqué. «Cette deuxième Lfr va être meublée par<br />\r\n des mécanismes de rectification, avec l’inscription de nouveaux chapitres pour doter de ressources de<br />\r\n nouvelles directions créées. Mais c’est plutôt pour embourber l’opinion puisque c’est un vrai recadrage<br />\r\n économique. Et il y a des risques que ça flambe au niveau des prix à la consommation. Car, l’Etat va lever sa<br />\r\n main sur certaines subventions. Ce qui est justifié, dans le fond, parce qu’il y a de grandes distorsions avec la<br />\r\n réalité financière. Aujourd’hui, l’état des finances publiques est tel qu’il ne peut plus supporter ces<br />\r\n subventions. On va ressentir le contrecoup d’une mauvaise gestion des finances publiques», confie une<br />\r\n source ayant mis son nez dans l’exposé des motifs de cette nouvelle Lfr.<br />\r\n Taux de croissance retoqué<br />\r\n A côté de la révision à la baisse des prévisions du gouvernement, l’on nous apprend également que le Fmi a<br />\r\n bloqué le déficit du pays après avoir rétréci la croissance du pays qui passe de 6,6 % à 6 %, selon ses<br />\r\n prévisions les plus optimistes. Un «enthousiasme» qui risque d’être douché.<br />\r\n D’un autre côté, des sources chez les bailleurs expliquent leur subite réticence avec le Sénégal par un<br />\r\n «problème de visibilité». Car, la suppression du poste de Pm, explique une source, ils la comprennent trop,<br />\r\n c’est-à-dire qu’il y aura un troisième mandat ou pas. De même que le fait d’avoir scindé le ministère de<br />\r\n l’Economie, des Finances et du Plan, alors que «la tendance est au regroupement dans les administrations<br />\r\n publiques ». «Dans notre perception, c’est comme si le Sénégal est en train de changer de politique, qu’il<br />\r\n aurait un autre agenda», s’interroge un haut fonctionnaire international. En tout cas, cela semble plausible vu<br />\r\n que les bailleurs de fonds ont accompagné le Pse avec plus de 3 mille milliards en 2014, et soutenu sa<br />\r\n poursuite. Mais, aujourd’hui, ils ne devraient plus être sûrs de rien avec ce référentiel dont la seconde phase<br />\r\n a récolté plus de 7 mille milliards en décembre dernier, à la veille de l’élection présidentielle de février 2019</span> .</p>\r\n \r\n <div><span class="fontstyle0">Un grand paradoxe. Si les bailleurs ont fermé le robinet à ce pays dont il s’était engagé à couvrir d’or il y a<br />\r\n huit mois, cela doit être certainement à cause d’un manque de cohérence. En effet, la nouvelle composition<br />\r\n du gouvernement a créé des chevauchements et incongruités indescriptibles. A titre d’exemple : les Impôts<br />\r\n doivent être un instrument de recettes et de politique fiscale, mais, aujourd’hui, la Direction des Impôts et<br />\r\n Domaines est logée au ministère des Finances et la politique fiscale est du ressort du ministère de<br />\r\n l’Economie, du Plan et de la Coopération qui gère la politique économique.<br />\r\n Ainsi, avec cette révision de la croissance, le blocage du déficit qui oblige le gouvernement à limiter les<br />\r\n projections budgétaires ou encore cette nouvelle Loi de finances rectificative dans la même année, le Fmi<br />\r\n semble, sans programme avec le pays, mettre Sénégal sous ajustement structurel (programme de réformes<br />\r\n économiques pour permettre à un pays touché par de grandes difficultés économiques de sortir de la crise :<br />\r\n Ndlr). Et malgré cette évidence, le pouvoir se permet de prendre quelques fantaisies avec la réalité.<br />\r\n <br />\r\n Seyni DIOP</span></div> """ -source: "Walfadjri" -date: DateTime @1568160000 {#568 : 2019-09-11 00:00:00.0 UTC (+00:00) } -heure: DateTime @0 {#569 : 1970-01-01 00:00:00.0 UTC (+00:00) } -image: null -created_at: DateTime @1568369545 {#570 : 2019-09-13 10:12:25.0 UTC (+00:00) } -updated_at: null -status: true -premium: false -titreimage: null -commentaires: Doctrine\ORM\PersistentCollection {#668 …} -notify_at: null -bookmarks: Doctrine\ORM\PersistentCollection {#657 …} -titre_en: "Cash flow tensions, rising prices: the IMF adjusts Senegal" -description_en: "<p><span class="fontstyle0">After revoking Senegal's growth forecast of 0.6%, the IMF blocked the country's deficit,<br /> forcing it to limit budget projections. Worse, he asks him for a second amending finance law<br /> (Lfr), which is being drafted, savings of 250 billion and a price truth before any new<br /> program with the country. Requirements which do not bode well for the populations and which smell good<br /> a structural adjustment, in fast-tract mode.<br /> The state is really hot at the coffers. Last June, the deputies had adopted a first Law of<br /> amending finances 2019. An Lfr which devoted a considerable drop in the resources which have passed<br /> from 4,071.77 billion CFA francs to 3,988.63 billion, a decrease of 83.14 billion in absolute value<br /> and 2% in relative value. Three months later, the State will still have to tighten the belt and make<br /> restrictions such as on the telephone bill, water and electricity of the administrations. Indeed, from sources<br /> sure among donors, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), contacted officially who promised<br /> to come back to us, and whose teams are in discussions with Finance technicians, requires above all<br /> new program with the country a second amending finance law (Lfr). This, to revisit again<br /> the decrease in the expected resources, make budgetary savings of at least 250 billion CFA francs<br /> and raise the prices of certain commodities. What is, according to some senior officials<br /> internationals of this institution of Bretton Woods, a "humiliation". This, even if he experienced an Lfr 2 in<br /> 2014, but it was to validate the increase in resources with the Emerging Senegal Plan 1 (Pse) which had just<br /> to be acclaimed by the donor community.<br /> According to some technical and financial partners, the Senegalese government may revise upwards<br /> fuel prices that have led to others, the IMF finds this insufficient. And from reliable sources<br /> Rue René Ndiaye x Avenue Carde, technicians from the Ministry of Finance are working on<br /> this second amending finance law. "It's being drafted. And this Lfr 2 will have<br /> dramatic consequences on the prices of certain consumer products which will explode and create<br /> a lot of imbalances", explains a senior civil servant. Which reminds us that the aftermath of this great<br /> period of consumption that is Tabaski will be very complicated. “This second Lfr will be furnished by<br /> rectification mechanisms, with the inclusion of new chapters to provide resources for<br /> new directions created. But it is rather to bog down public opinion since it is a real reframing<br /> economic. And there are risks that it will soar in consumer prices. Because, the State will lift its<br /> hand on some subsidies. Which is justified, basically, because there are major distortions with the<br /> financial reality. Today, the state of public finances is such that it can no longer support these<br /> subsidies. We are going to feel the repercussions of poor management of public finances", confides a<br /> source having put his nose in the explanatory memorandum of this new Lfr.<br /> Rejected growth rate<br /> Alongside the downward revision of the government's forecasts, we are also told that the IMF has<br /> blocked the country's deficit after shrinking the country's growth from 6.6% to 6%, according to its<br /> the most optimistic predictions. An “enthusiasm” which risks being showered.<br /> On the other hand, donor sources explain their sudden reluctance with Senegal by a<br /> visibility problem. Because, the removal of the Pm post, explains a source, they understand it too much,<br /> that is, there will be a third term or not. Just as the fact of having split the ministry of<br /> Economy, Finance and Planning, while "the trend is towards consolidation in the administrations<br /> public”. “In our perception, it is as if Senegal is changing policy, that it<br /> would have another agenda," asks a senior international official. In any case, it seems plausible given<br /> that donors have supported the Pse with more than 3 trillion in 2014, and supported its<br /> pursuit. But, today, they should no longer be sure of anything with this repository, the second phase of which<br /> raised more than 7 trillion last December, on the eve of the February 2019 presidential election</span> .</p><div> <span class="fontstyle0">A great paradox. If the donors have turned off the tap to this country, which it had promised to cover with gold, there is<br /> eight months, it must certainly be because of a lack of consistency. Indeed, the new composition<br /> government has created indescribable overlaps and inconsistencies. For example: taxes<br /> should be an instrument of revenue and tax policy, but today the Directorate of Taxes and<br /> Domains is housed in the Ministry of Finance and tax policy is the responsibility of the Ministry of<br /> Economy, Planning and Cooperation, which manages economic policy.<br /> Thus, with this revision of growth, the freezing of the deficit which obliges the government to limit the<br /> budget projections or even this new amending finance law in the same year, the IMF<br /> seems, without a program with the country, to put Senegal under structural adjustment (reform program<br /> to enable a country affected by major economic difficulties to emerge from the crisis:<br /> Editor's note). And despite this evidence, power allows itself to take some fantasies with reality.<br /><br /> Seyni DIOP</span></div>" -atTop: null } |
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