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OF Bulletin du matin

29/03/2022
Categories: General Information

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Stocks are expected to rise, the market hopes for a breakthrough in the Russian-Ukrainian talks. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 3,887.10 points (+0.50%), the CAC 40 at 6,589.11 points (+0.54%), the DAX 40 at 14,417.37 points (+0.78%) ), the FTSE 100 at 7,473.14 points (-0.14%), the SMI at 12,155.95 points (+0.28%), the AEX at 720.36 points (-0.49%), the BEL 20 at 4,130.93 points (+0.28%), IBEX 35 at 8,365.60 points (+0.42%), DJIA at 34,955.89 points (+0.27%), Nasdaq at 14,354.90 points (+1.31%), the S&P 500 at 4,575.52 points (+0.71%) and the Nikkei 225 at 28,145.38 points (+0.72%).

With regard to exchange rates, the variation compared to the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD at 1.0995 (+0.06%), EUR/JPY at 135.55 (-0 .43%) and USD/JPY at 123.29 (-0.50%).

European stocks are expected to open higher on Tuesday as Russia and Ukraine prepare to start a new round of negotiations in Istanbul. At 7:30 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract gained 44 points, or 0.7%, according to data from broker IG Markets. The contract on the DAX 40 gained 114 points, or 0.8%, and that on the FTSE 100 rose by 33 points, or 0.5%.

Hoping for a breakthrough in the Russian-Ukrainian talks, most Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index gained 0.7% at the end of the session. The flagship index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the Hang Seng, advanced by 0.6%. In contrast, the Shanghai Composite index fell 0.3% as investors worried about the economic impact of the lockdown in Shanghai. On Monday evening, Wall Street ended higher after a rebound in technology stocks. After spending most of the session in the red, the Dow Jones Index (DJIA) closed up 0.3% to 34,955.89 points. The broader S&P 500 index gained 0.7% to 4,575.51 points. The Nasdaq climbed 1.3% to 14,354 points.

Yields on 10-year US Treasuries rallied on Tuesday morning. During Monday's session, parts of the US yield curve continued to invert, with the yield on the five-year stock and the three-year bond hitting 2.549% and 2.56% respectively, i.e. levels higher than the ten-year Treasury bond rate. The five-year rate even briefly exceeded the yield on the 30-year bond, a first for this part of the curve since 2006.

The euro rose on Tuesday morning against the dollar, supported by a slight improvement in risk appetite. According to JPMorgan, the dollar is not really disconnected from US rates given that the markets are not pricing in the Fed's monetary tightening in the international context, that real yields in the United States are still negative, that the prices of raw materials are increasing and that trade balances outside the United States are robust.

Oil contracts continued to decline on Tuesday morning, penalized by the containment of Shanghai due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Prices fell about 7% on Monday to their lowest level in more than a week, as rising Covid cases in China threaten oil demand and operators hoping for a breakthrough in talks between the Russia and Ukraine allay supply fears. Around 7:20 a.m., the May contract for Brent North Sea crude lost $1.15, or 1%, to $111.33 a barrel, while the same-maturity contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on the Nymex fell. $1.11, or 1.1%, to $104.85 a barrel.

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