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OF Morning Newsletter

15/09/2021
Categories: General Information

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Disappointing economic indicators in China are expected to weigh on European equity markets. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,191.67 points, up 0.05%, the CAC 40 at 6,652.97 points (-0.36%), the DAX 30 at 15,722.99 points (+0.14%), the FTSE 100 at 7,034.06 points (-0.49%), the SMI at 12,097.28 points (+0.19%), the AEX at 797.71 points (+0.19%), the AEX at 797.71 points (+0.49%) 0.79%), the BEL 20 at 4,172.77 points (-0.41%), the IBEX 35 at 8,780.00 points (-0.41%), the DJIA 34.577.57 points (-0.84%), the Nasdaq at 15,037.75 points (-0.45%), the S& P 500 at 4,443.05 points (-0.57%) and the Nikkei 225 at 30,539.94

points down 0.42%.

With respect to foreign exchange rates, the change compared to the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD opened at 1.1807 (+0.03%), EUR/JPY at 129.41 (-0.05%), and USD/JPY at 109.61 down 0.08%.

Investors will follow the final inflation figures in August on Wednesday. The first estimate by the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE), published on August 31, showed a 1.9% increase in consumer prices last month. On the business side, Virbac publishes its first-half results, Vinci presents the traffic of its Vinci Autoroute and Vinci Airport divisions, and the new CEO of Danone, Antoine de Saint-Affrique, takes up his duties within the agri-food group. Vivendi also announced Tuesday evening that its management board had decided to pay an interim dividend in kind “paid in relation to the interim balance sheet as of June 30, 2021.” This interim payment will be associated with the exceptional dividend in kind of 5.3 billion euros already voted by shareholders. The addition of these two dividends will allow up to 60% of the capital of Universal Music Group (UMG) to be distributed in kind to Vivendi shareholders on September 21, 2021, the group said in

a press release.

European equity markets are expected to change little at the opening on Wednesday as investors are concerned about the publication of economic indicators in China that have heightened fears for global growth. Around 7:30am, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 4 points, or 0.1%, according to data from the broker IG Markets. The DAX contract lost 6 points, or 0.04%, and the FTSE 100 contract fell by 0.5 points, or 0.01%. In Asia, the main indexes fell on Wednesday after data showing a weakening in economic activity in China in August, with the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Nikkei Index dropping 0.4% at the end of the session. The Shanghai Composite index fell 0.01% and in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng lost 1.4%. Chinese industrial production rose 5.3% in August, after rising 6.4% in July. Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal expected growth of 5.6%. Retail sales, a mirror of household consumption, grew by 2.5% in August, compared to 8.5% in July and 6.3% expected by economists. Investors are now waiting for industrial production figures in the eurozone and the United States, expected at 11:00 and 15:15 respectively. Wall Street finished lower on Tuesday, after reports of an unexpected slowdown in U.S. inflation in August, with the Dow Jones Index (DJIA) falling 0.8% to 34.577 points. The expanded S&P 500 index fell 0.5% to 15,037.76 points. The Nasdaq Composite Index, rich in technology stocks, finished down 0.5% to 15,037.76 points

.

The yield on the ten-year U.S. Treasury bond, the market's benchmark bond, continued to fall Wednesday morning. At 7:35am, this rate stood at 1.285%, compared to 1.291% on Tuesday evening. Yields began to fall on Tuesday after the announcement of a slight slowdown in inflation in August in the United States

.

The euro was stable against the dollar on Wednesday morning, while the Japanese yen strengthened amid concerns about global growth caused by disappointing economic indicators published in China. According to IG, the recent resurgence of Covid-19 cases in the Chinese province of Fujian also seems to increase the risks for the country's recovery

.

Oil prices rose on Wednesday as concerns about Tropical Storm Nicholas and its impact on crude and natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico subside. On Tuesday evening, the American Petroleum Institute (API) trade association announced a 5.4 million barrel decrease in U.S. crude inventories last week, a 2.8 million barrel drop in gasoline stocks, and a 2.9 million barrel drop in distillate stocks. For its part, the Energy Department is expected to report a 2.5 million barrel drop in U.S. crude oil inventories last week, according to a survey of analysts and brokers conducted by the Wall Street Journal. At 7:25am, the November North Sea Brent contract earned 48 cents, at $74.08 per barrel. The October contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on Nymex took 45 cents, at $70.91

per barrel.
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