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OF Morning Report

06/09/2021
Categories: General Information

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Equity markets should hesitate in the absence of American investors. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,201.98 points with a drop of 0.71%, the CAC 40 to 6,689.99 points (-1.08%), the DAX 30 to 15,781.20 points (-0.37%), the FTSE 100 to 7,138.35 points (-0.36%), the SMI to 12,351.84 points (-0.65%), the AEX to 789.55 points (-0.65%) 0.48%), the BEL 20 at 4,303.90 points (-0.75%), the IBEX 35 8,864.00 points (-1.31%), the DJIA at 35,369.09 points (-0.21%), the Nasdaq at 15,363.52 points (+0.21%), the S&P 500 at 4,535.43 points (-0.03%) and the Nikkei 225

at 29,640.35 points, up 1.76%.

As for the exchange rate, the change compared to the close in New York indicates that the EUR/USD fell by 0.07% at 1.1871, the EUR/JPY at 130.34 (+0.04%) and the USD/JPY at 109.81 with an increase of 0.09%.

Over the weekend, the energy group TotalEnergies signed a contract worth a total of 27 billion dollars (22.8 billion euros) with the Iraqi government including investments in various energy projects, including injecting seawater into oil fields in order to increase the quantity of oil recovered Rée, a natural gas processing plant and a solar farm. The CEO of TotalEnergies, Patrick Pouyanné, signed the contract in Baghdad with the Iraqi Minister of Petroleum, Ihsan Abdul Jabbar. Automotive values will also be monitored as the IAA motor show takes place in Munich starting this Monday in a context disrupted by component shortages and the electrification of

vehicles.

European equity markets are expected to change little at the opening on Monday, as the closure of Wall Street for Labor Day in the United States is likely to limit trading. At around 7:30am, the CAC 40 futures contract reached 1 point, or 0.01%, according to data from the broker IG Markets. The DAX contract gained 11.5 points, or 0.07%, and the FTSE 100 contract gained 7.7 points, or 0.1%. The attention of European investors will turn to the recomposition of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange's flagship index, the DAX, which will include 40 stocks as of September 20, compared to 30 currently. The stock exchange operator Deutsche Börse announced on Friday evening the inclusion of Airbus, Porsche, Puma, Zalando, Siemens Healthineers, Symrise, HelloFresh, Sartorius, Brenntag, and Qiagen in the index. This expansion of the DAX will be carried out at the expense of the MDax index of average stocks, which will only include 50 stocks, compared to 60 currently. On Friday evening, Wall Street finished in a mixed order after the announcement of a sudden slowdown in job creation in the United States in August under the effect of uncertainties caused by the coronavirus Delta variant. The Dow Jones index fell 0.2% to 35,369.09 points. The S&P 500 lost 0.03% to 35,369.09 points. The Nasdaq, rich in technology stocks, advanced by 0.2% and set a third consecutive record, at 15,363.52 points. In Asia, the main equity indices rose on Monday, supported by lower bets on a reduction in Fed asset purchases after Friday's employment report. At the end of the session, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange increased 1.8%. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 1% and, in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng gained 0.7%

.

This week, investors will focus on the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting on Thursday. They are counting on a decrease in the pace of purchases made by the ECB under the Pandemic Emergency Procurement Programme (PEPP). The economic outlook and inflation are showing signs of recovery in the eurozone, even if the coronavirus Delta variant is causing uncertainty in the region.

US Treasury bond yields rose on Friday after the release of US employment figures. The slowdown in job creation in August was seen by some investors as a sign that the Delta variant could curb the recovery of the US economy, thus allaying fears of a sudden decrease in Fed asset purchases. In the eurozone, UniCredit forecasts that the 10-year Bund yield will reach -0.20% by the end of 2021, compared to -0.357% currently, if the ECB engages, as expected, in a slight reduction in the

pace of the PEPP.

The euro fell against the dollar on Monday morning. At 7:30am, the single currency lost 0.1% to 1.1866 dollars. According to Commerzbank, recent fluctuations in the eurodollar pair have been mainly influenced by the greenback, but the next monetary policy decision by the ECB, expected on Thursday, could

change the situation.

Oil futures lost more than 1% on Monday, continuing the downturn on Friday due to fears that the Delta variant would weigh on the US economy after the weak employment report published across the Atlantic. At 7:20 a.m., the November North Sea Brent contract lost 84 cents, or 1.2%, to $71.77 per barrel. The October contract for mild crude oil (WTI) listed on the Nymex sold 78 cents, or 1.1%, at $68.51

per barrel.
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