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OF Morning Report

30/08/2021
Categories: General Information

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Shares should continue to rise, still supported by the words of Jérôme Powell. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,190.98 points with an increase of 0.51%, the CAC 40 to 6,681.92 points (+0.24%), the DAX 30 to 15,851.75 points (+0.37%), the FTSE 100 to 7,148.01 points (+0.32%), the SMI to 12,439.00 points (+0.24%), the AEX to 787.04 points (+0.24%) 0.86%), the BEL 20 at 4,318.44 points (+0.16%), the IBEX 35 at 8,922.20 points (+0.33%), the DJIA 35,455.80 points (+0.69%), the Nasdaq at 15,129.50 points (+1.23%), the S&P 500 at 4,509.37 points (+0.88%) and the Nikkei 225 at 27,770.18 points +0.47%

.

As for the exchange rate, the change compared to the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD opened at 1.1806 up 0.08%, EUR/JPY up 0.08%, EUR/JPY 129.55 (-0.03%), and USD/JPY up 0.11% at 109.74.

The health pass will become mandatory in France on Monday for employees in contact with the public in numerous sectors of activity related to leisure, catering and mainline trains. In this context, investors will follow the meeting planned in Bercy between several ministers and employer representatives of sectors affected by the

health crisis.

European equity markets should continue to benefit from the accommodating tone of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell in Jackson Hole on Monday. However, their growth may be limited, as financial markets are closed in London due to a bank holiday in the United Kingdom. At 7:35 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract gained 7 points, or 0.1%, according to data from the broker IG Markets. The DAX 30 contract took 20 points, which was also 0.1%. European investors are also waiting for the first estimate of the consumer price index in Germany, which is expected to be published at 14:00. In the United States, Wall Street closed in the green on Friday, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) seems determined not to tighten its monetary policy too abruptly, according to indications provided by its president at the Jackson Hole conference. The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) gained 0.7% to 35,455.80 points. Rising to new records, the expanded S&P 500 rose 0.9%, to 4,509.37 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 1.2%, to 15,129.50 points

.

In this context, the American government sharply raised its annual inflation forecast on Friday to take into account the effect of supply difficulties linked to the health crisis. However, price pressures are expected to ease next year, in line with expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with the Biden administration expecting inflation to reach 2.5% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023. The White House also raised its growth forecast for this year, expecting GDP to rise by 7.2% instead of 5% in May. The public deficit is expected to reach 13.9% of GDP, compared to a previous forecast of 16.7%. In Asia, the main markets are going green on Monday. At the end of the session, the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.2%. The Hang Seng Index gained 0.4% in Hong Kong, like the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Nikkei Index

.

US Treasury bond yields continued to fall on Monday morning, after losing ground on Friday in reaction to a speech by Jérôme Powell, which suggests a decrease in Fed bond purchases. At 7:35 a.m., the yield on the ten-year Treasury note, the market benchmark, stood at 1.305%, compared to 1.314% on Friday evening. Mizuho is maintaining its target of -0.45% for the 10-year Bund yield at the end of the year, which is lower than the current level of -0.415% according to Tradeweb data.

Like US sovereign bond yields, the dollar continued to fall on Monday morning against other major currencies, including the euro. At 7:35 a.m., the single currency increased by 0.1% to 1.1804

dollars.

Oil prices moved in scattered order on Monday morning, as the market worries about supply disruptions after Hurricane Ida hit the Gulf coast. The category 4 hurricane caused the cessation of oil production of 1.74 million barrels per day in the Gulf of Mexico, equivalent to some 96 percent of that region's production and 1.7 percent of the global oil supply, CBA estimates. The Colonial pipeline, which can deliver 2.5 million barrels per day of gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel in the eastern and southeastern United States, was also shut down. At 7:25 a.m., the October North Sea Brent contract earned 14 cents, at $72.84 per barrel. The Nymex-listed mild light crude (WTI) contract with the same maturity lost 16 cents to $68.58

per barrel.
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