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OF Morning Newsletter

24/06/2021
Categories: General Information

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European equities expected to fall ahead of a series of indicators and the BOE. The Eurostoxx 50 lost 1.14% or 4,075.94 points while the CAC 40 shows a fall of 0.91%, or 6,551.07 points. The DAX 30 opens at 15,456.39 points (-1.15%), the FTSE 100 at 7,074.06 points (-0.22%), the SMI at 11,898.62 points (-0.70%), the AEX at 725.05 points (-0.49%), the BEL 20 at 4,112.46 points (-1.04%), the IBEX 35 at 8.954.10 points (-0.49%), the IBEX 35 at 8.954.10 points (-0.49%), the BEL 20 at 4,112.46 points (-1.04%), the IBEX 35 at 8.954.10 points (-1.14%) 0%), the DJIA at 33,874.24 points (-0.21%), the Nasdaq at 14,271.73 points (+0.13%), the S&P 500 at 4,241.84 points (-0.11%), and the Nikkei 225 28,850.26 points (-0.09%)

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The exchange rate compared to the close in New York is rising. EUR/USD remained stable at 1.1927, EUR/JPY opened at 132.35 (+0.01%) and USD/JPY at 110.97 (+0.01%)

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French investors will follow the business climate figures in June on Thursday, a month marked by the lifting of new restrictions linked to the health crisis. On the business side, Europcar Mobility Group indicated on Wednesday evening that it had recently received a “mark of interest regarding a possible transaction” in its capital, which its board of directors rejected.

The main European equity indices are expected to open slightly higher on Thursday, while investors await the Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy decision and a new set of economic indicators, while analysing what Federal Reserve (Fed) officials say about monetary support measures currently in vigor. At 7:40am, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 16 points, or 0.25%, according to data from broker IG Markets. The contract on the DAX 30 rose by 14 points, or 0.1%, and the one on the FTSE 100 rose 3.5 points, or 0.05%. The president of the Federal Reserve (Fed) in Atlanta indicated on Wednesday that he expected the central bank to reduce bond buybacks soon and estimated that a first rate hike could take place as early as 2022. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Wednesday urged Congress to raise or suspend the U.S. public debt ceiling to avoid “catastrophic” consequences for the country's economy. Speaking at a hearing held in the Senate, the official pleaded for a recovery “as soon as possible.” The legal ceiling on the US federal debt was suspended in 2019 until next July 31.

The most important measure to have been adopted requires that major internet platforms facilitate the transfer of user data to other platforms and even communicate with users on other platforms. This bill would give the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the US competition authority, new and expanded powers to set individualized standards for tech giants. The bills have yet to be passed by the entire House of Representatives where the voting schedule remains uncertain. Investors expect a series of economic indicators on Thursday, including the IFO business climate index in Germany, the third estimate of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States in the first quarter, weekly unemployment benefit claims, and orders for durable goods across the Atlantic

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U.S. Treasury bond yields continued their previous day's rise on Thursday morning, after Atlanta Fed Chairman Raphael Bostic in turn forecast a first rate hike at the end of 2022. At 7:40am, the yield on the ten-year treasury bill, the reference market security, stood at 1.495% compared to 1.486% on Wednesday evening. While the job market is expected to improve in the coming months, “I think it is entirely appropriate to plan the process of reducing” bond buybacks, said Raphael Bostic, who is a voting member of the Fed's Monetary Policy Committee

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The euro fell slightly against the dollar on Thursday morning, as the market remains concerned about a possible reduction in Fed asset purchases. Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, like Raphael Bostic, sent signals on Wednesday that suggested a more restrictive monetary policy, raising concerns among investors, the specialized site DailyFX.com reports. The rise in the manufacturing PMI in the United States has reinforced these fears. According to Goldman Sachs, the Fed's monetary policy committee meeting last week “has undoubtedly reduced the risk of a sharp depreciation of the dollar induced by high inflation and very low real rates and should result in a sharper positive correlation between the news about accelerating inflation [in the United States] and the appreciation of the

dollar.”

Oil contracts rose slightly on Thursday morning, after crude inventories in the United States were announced to fall for the fifth consecutive week. According to IG, the next meeting of OPEC+, which brings together the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies led by Russia, is under the spotlight. This meeting is scheduled for July 1. The cartel could increase production in the coming months, thanks to the deployment of vaccination campaigns that support fuel demand, while travel restrictions are gradually being lifted, the broker says. The Wall Street Journal, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that OPEC+ members were planning to raise their total production by around 500,000 barrels per day. At 7:30 a.m., the August North Sea Brent contract was gaining 9 cents, at $75.28 per barrel, and the contract with the same maturity on light sweet crude (WTI) traded on Nymex rose 7 cents, at

$73.15 per barrel.
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